Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:20:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7F 0x7fce…3abf crypto 419 markets active 7d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2073 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$519 (+3%) realized +$519 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate36%152W / 267L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day2073.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2073 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 419 +0.6% -9.0% 36% 7% -10.1%
≤90d 419 +0.6% -9.0% 36% 7% -10.1%
all 419 +0.6% -9.0% 36% 7% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2073.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 7% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 3% -18.7%
15% -25.6% 1% -26.6%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$519
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses152 / 267
Open positions0
Markets (closed)419 / 419
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$40
Trades / day2073.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 419 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $54 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $42 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $55 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $22 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $56 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $67 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $28 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $57 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $64 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $66 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $67 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $66 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $36 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $43 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $67 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $65 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $44 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $65 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $67 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $65 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $42 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $64 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $37 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $68 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $66 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $32 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $55 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $56 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $23 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $45 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $66 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 09 $32 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records