Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:36:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fc6…dc55
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$47 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses22 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage4d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day31.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$47
14 days−$47
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$29 +547%
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary elect Jun 14 $5 −$1 -23%
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary ele Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary electio Jun 14 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$7 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$16 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$5 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$26 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $13 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$23 +218%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$44
politics 3% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary elect SELL Yes 4¢ $4 1h
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary ele SELL No 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary electio SELL Yes 15¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -4.2% -13.4% 42% 33% -20.1%
≤30d 52 -4.2% -13.4% 42% 33% -20.1%
≤90d 52 -4.2% -13.4% 42% 33% -20.1%
all 52 -4.2% -13.4% 42% 33% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 33% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 27% -27.7%
15% -29.2% 27% -34.7%
20% -36.2% 19% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 147 history records