Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:57:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fc5…9fcf
crypto · 439 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16,146 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,021 · open −$121
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$686
Realized−$16,021
Unrealized−$121
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses263 / 375
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$63
Open positions30
Markets (closed)638 / 439
History coverage14d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day237.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 30 History 638 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,752
7 days−$15,670
14 days−$16,021
30 days−$16,021
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $102 $101 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 75¢ 74¢ $101 $101 −$1 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 97¢ 91¢ $100 $95 −$5 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 68¢ $81 $80 −$1 (-1%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 53¢ 50¢ $56 $53 −$3 (-5%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 76¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Verdant 51¢ 50¢ $34 $33 −$1 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 56¢ $31 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? No 58¢ 75¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 80¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 61¢ 48¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-22%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Over 55¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 59¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 73¢ 74¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 52¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals No 82¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 56¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$33 +9615%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$209 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $229 −$229 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $226 −$226 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$93 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$115 -365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $237 −$237 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $326 −$326 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$52 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $310 −$310 -100%
Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP? Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$10 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$1
sports 10% +$177
other 1% +$28
weather 0% +$2
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ $5 11m
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY No 82¢ $5 25m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $5 26m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $5 26m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 56¢ $5 37m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ $5 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 75¢ $103 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $5 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 60¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 61¢ $5 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 70¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 66¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 68¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 68¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 67¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 67¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $12 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 73¢ $5 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 53¢ $5 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $5 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $5 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $5 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 417 -47.1% -52.1% 28% 25% -67.9%
≤30d 638 -33.6% -39.9% 41% 26% -29.0%
≤90d 638 -33.6% -39.9% 41% 26% -29.0%
all 638 -33.6% -39.9% 41% 26% -29.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover237.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.9% 26% -29.0%
10% ← realistic here -45.6% 22% -35.8%
15% -50.9% 18% -42.0%
20% -55.7% 14% -47.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $686.50 · official $686.51 (match) · 3500 history records