Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:36:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fa3…39b2
other · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$297 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$300 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$155
Realized−$300
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses3 / 6
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions8
Markets (closed)9 / 17
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%
Chart Positions 8 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$300
7 days−$300
14 days−$300
30 days−$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 52¢ $50 $55 +$5 (+10%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 16¢ $66 $21 −$45 (-68%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $111 +$59 +53%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $81 +$225 +276%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $302 −$300 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $113 −$110 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $52 +$59 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $223 −$220 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $40 −$1 -4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% −$555
sports 11% +$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $51 31m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 46¢ $54 32m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 42¢ $51 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $67 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $170 2h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $306 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $30 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $101 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $101 11h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $51 11h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $102 11h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $201 11h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 15h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $111 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $223 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 35h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $23 41h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 89¢ $10 41h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 8¢ $2 42h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 88¢ $10 42h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 46¢ $14 42h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 27¢ $10 43h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 44h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 44h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 44h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 44h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 44h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -6.8% -15.7% 33% 33% -38.8%
≤30d 9 -6.8% -15.7% 33% 33% -38.8%
≤90d 9 -6.8% -15.7% 33% 33% -38.8%
all 9 -6.8% -15.7% 33% 33% -38.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 33% -38.8%
10% -23.8% 33% -44.7%
15% -31.1% 33% -50.0%
20% -37.9% 33% -54.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.60 · official $154.60 (match) · 36 history records