Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fa0…ffd2
crypto · 2015 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$340 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$340 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$340
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1261 / 619
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1880 / 2015
History coverage10d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day204.3
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 1880 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$334
7 days−$552
14 days+$340
30 days+$340
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 22? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 20? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 20? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 20? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 22? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 22? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C or below on April 20? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C or higher on April 22? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$686
other 10% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 736 -26.5% -33.5% 51% 45% -29.6%
≤30d 1880 +4.7% -5.3% 67% 64% -4.4%
≤90d 1880 +4.7% -5.3% 67% 64% -4.4%
all 1880 +4.7% -5.3% 67% 64% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover204.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 64% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 59% -13.5%
15% -22.6% 59% -21.9%
20% -30.2% 54% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records