trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 18% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 18% | 0% | -10.6% |
| all | 26 | -11.4% | -19.8% | 27% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.8% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -27.5% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -34.5% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -40.9% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $61 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $59 | −$4 | -6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 03 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | May 12 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -81% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 19 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| UMass Lowell vs. Maine | Mar 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 4? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Eastern Washington vs. Montana | Mar 03 | $18 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 55°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 03 | $19 | $0 | +0% |