Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:25:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7F 0x7f70…701d crypto 167 markets active 1h ago coverage 55d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$10 (-1%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate96%160W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day3.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$2
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% −$13
finance 13% +$2
sports 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -0.7% -10.1% 97% 2% -10.6%
≤30d 164 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 3% -10.5%
≤90d 167 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 3% -10.3%
all 167 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 3% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 3% -10.3%
10% -18.2% 2% -18.9%
15% -26.1% 1% -26.7%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses160 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)167 / 167
History coverage55d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 167 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 349 history records