Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f5d…c391
crypto · 18 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$4 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses15 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)17 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +88%
net ROI/market (all)+18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +30.6% +18.2% 88% 88% +9.2%
≤30d 17 +30.6% +18.2% 88% 88% +9.2%
≤90d 17 +30.6% +18.2% 88% 88% +9.2%
all 17 +30.6% +18.2% 88% 88% +9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.2% 88% +9.2%
10% ← realistic here +6.9% 47% -1.2%
15% -3.4% 29% -10.8%
20% -12.9% 24% -19.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $4.32 · 51 history records