Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f5b…dfed
other · 13 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$2 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)2 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit8%
Chart Positions 11 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +150%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% −$1
sports 12% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 5m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 6m
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 6m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 7m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 67¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 7h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+35.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +49.9% +35.6% 50% 50% +35.5%
≤30d 2 +49.9% +35.6% 50% 50% +35.5%
≤90d 2 +49.9% +35.6% 50% 50% +35.5%
all 2 +49.9% +35.6% 50% 50% +35.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +35.6% 50% +35.5%
10% +22.6% 50% +22.5%
15% +10.8% 50% +10.7%
20% -0.1% 50% -0.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.49 · official $12.49 (match) · 15 history records