Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f5a…7a79
crypto · 1241 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1105 / 136
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1241 / 1241
History coverage10d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day126.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$22
14 days−$74
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 844 -0.7% -10.2% 91% 25% -10.2%
≤30d 1241 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 32% -10.8%
≤90d 1241 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 32% -10.8%
all 1241 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 32% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 32% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 11% -19.3%
15% -27.2% 3% -27.1%
20% -34.3% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2357 history records