trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +19.6% | +8.2% | 74% | 63% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +19.6% | +8.2% | 74% | 63% | -8.2% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +19.1% | +7.7% | 75% | 60% | -5.5% |
| all | 20 | +19.1% | +7.7% | 75% | 60% | -5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.7% | 60% | -5.5% |
| 10% | -2.6% | 50% | -14.6% |
| 15% | -12.0% | 20% | -22.8% |
| 20% | -20.6% | 10% | -30.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $500 | $497 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $478 | $474 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 11¢ | $200 | $270 | +$70 (+35%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $200 | $228 | +$28 (+14%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $200 | $215 | +$15 (+8%) |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | No | 72¢ | 70¢ | $200 | $196 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $200 | $177 | −$23 (-11%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $200 | $174 | −$26 (-13%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 13¢ | $200 | $159 | −$41 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $923 | +$207 | +22% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,509 | +$51 | +3% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $507 | +$197 | +39% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $404 | +$96 | +24% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $903 | +$425 | +47% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $408 | −$408 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $202 | +$51 | +25% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $26 | +$78 | +305% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $115 | +$13 | +11% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $684 | +$223 | +33% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$18 | +18% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $508 | −$367 | -72% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $202 | +$49 | +24% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $709 | −$613 | -86% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$57 | +56% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$34 | +33% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$6 | -6% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $103 | −$8 | -8% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $1,005 | +$28 | +3% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $5,868 | +$510 | +9% |