Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f49…e51a
other · 7 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$5 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29 · open −$34
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized+$29
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$29
14 days+$29
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 24¢ $25 $11 −$14 (-58%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 +$9 +90%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$19 +178%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $21 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $21 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $26 14h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $21 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $11 43h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $9 45h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+82.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +101.7% +82.5% 100% 100% +95.2%
≤30d 3 +101.7% +82.5% 100% 100% +95.2%
≤90d 3 +101.7% +82.5% 100% 100% +95.2%
all 3 +101.7% +82.5% 100% 100% +95.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +82.5% 100% +95.2%
10% +65.1% 100% +76.5%
15% +49.1% 100% +59.4%
20% +34.5% 67% +43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.56 · official $50.56 (match) · 10 history records