Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:31:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f42…b30b
other · 1385 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1377 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1383 / 1385
History coverage107d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 2 History 1383 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$14
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the announcers say "Yellow Card" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WRAITH PCIFIC (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+ Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Amar Memić: 2+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 0 - 1 Drogheda United FC? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Waterford FC 3 - 1 Sligo Rovers FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bollipalli/Hilderbrand vs. Escobar/Kittay: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: OC Safi 3 - 2 Kawkab AC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: ONIC (-2.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Ryser vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Mia Horvit vs. Emma Ottavia Ghirardato: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Patrik Schick: 1+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Mei Yamaguchi vs. Zongyu Li: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Lukáš Provod: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Kim vs. Dellavedova: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Adam Hložek: 2+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Alex Freeland: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Erik Lira: 1+ assists Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Israel Reyes: 1+ assists Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-9.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+9.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Sandberg (-1.5) vs Lovric (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs RUSTEC (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Herea vs. Mazzola: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Marmousez vs Krutykh Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Milana Maslenkova vs. Fabienne Gettwart: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Shinikova (-1.5) vs Vozniak (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Arifullina vs Ha Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Milanese vs. Aziz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Llaverias vs. Gay: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% +$22
sports 44% −$6
politics 2% +$1
world 1% $0
weather 1% +$1
crypto 1% +$5
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the announcers say "Yellow Card" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA BUY Yes 100¢ $5 19m
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WRAITH PCIFIC (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+ BUY Eternal Fire Academy 99¢ $5 4h
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand BUY Ekstrand 100¢ $5 4h
Amar Memić: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 0 - 1 Drogheda United FC? BUY No 100¢ $4 4h
Exact Score: Waterford FC 3 - 1 Sligo Rovers FC? BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 100¢ $5 5h
Bollipalli/Hilderbrand vs. Escobar/Kittay: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 5h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 8h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 8h
Exact Score: OC Safi 3 - 2 Kawkab AC? BUY No 100¢ $5 8h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) BUY BetBoom Team 100¢ $5 9h
Game Handicap: ONIC (-2.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+2.5) BUY ONIC 100¢ $5 11h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5) BUY G2 100¢ $5 11h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY PARIVISION 97¢ $5 13h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 14h
Ryser vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 15h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) BUY G2 Ares 100¢ $5 15h
Mia Horvit vs. Emma Ottavia Ghirardato: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $4 15h
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 16h
Patrik Schick: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Lukáš Provod: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Mei Yamaguchi vs. Zongyu Li: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 100¢ $5 18h
Kim vs. Dellavedova: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 500 +0.6% -8.9% 100% 1% -8.9%
≤90d 1270 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.2%
all 1383 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 1% -9.2%
10% -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.94 · official $9.94 (match) · 3080 history records