Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f3f…8175
sports · 107 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$24 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$26
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses45 / 61
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions1
Markets (closed)106 / 107
History coverage35d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$39
14 days+$155
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 44¢ 81¢ $30 $56 +$26 (+85%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants No 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals No 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves No 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles No 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals No 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers No 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Los Angeles Dodgers 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks No 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Pittsburgh Pirates 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles Athletics 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins No 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 38¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $32 −$3 -8%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $5 −$1 -16%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $102 −$74 -73%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $66 −$36 -55%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $10 +$2 +23%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $20 +$17 +86%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $20 +$17 +86%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $15 +$16 +107%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $10 +$19 +188%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $41 −$40 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $30 +$31 +103%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $25 −$18 -70%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $51 +$48 +95%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $51 +$46 +91%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $51 +$19 +37%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $20 +$15 +73%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $51 −$3 -7%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Jun 06 $35 −$35 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $100 +$143 +143%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $5 −$2 -43%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $9 +$6 +70%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Jun 05 $8 +$8 +95%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Ne Jun 05 $10 −$1 -7%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $92 +$147 +160%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Ta Jun 03 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -96%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 03 $10 −$4 -42%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $10 −$9 -90%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers v Jun 02 $13 −$13 -98%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 02 $10 −$3 -33%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 02 $10 +$7 +73%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Sea Jun 02 $10 +$8 +78%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 26 $106 −$104 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 26 $2 −$1 -37%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $58 +$45 +78%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $15 +$26 +171%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $21 −$7 -34%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $10 −$9 -84%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $4 −$2 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$70
other 5% −$44
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 44¢ $31 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $30 26h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 54¢ $32 38h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Houston Astros 28¢ $4 47h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 10¢ $28 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Houston Astros 32¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 35¢ $102 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ $10 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ $25 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics SELL Milwaukee Brewers 49¢ $28 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL San Diego Padres 62¢ $13 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 49¢ $10 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ $15 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ $15 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 38¢ $10 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 45¢ $51 3d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 56¢ $5 3d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 50¢ $10 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Seattle Mariners 100¢ $38 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL New York Yankees 100¢ $38 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays SELL Tampa Bay Rays 99¢ $32 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 47¢ $15 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 53¢ $20 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $20 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 51¢ $20 3d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 34¢ $10 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 1¢ $1 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays SELL Tampa Bay Rays 99¢ $62 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 47¢ $20 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 35¢ $20 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -1.5% -10.8% 44% 44% -5.1%
≤30d 85 -6.3% -15.2% 44% 44% -7.2%
≤90d 106 -9.6% -18.2% 42% 42% -9.5%
all 106 -9.6% -18.2% 42% 42% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.2% 42% -9.5%
10% -26.1% 42% -18.2%
15% -33.2% 41% -26.1%
20% -39.8% 38% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.56 · official $55.57 (match) · 206 history records