Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:23:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f35…5327
sports · 9 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$40 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized+$37
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses8 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days+$37
14 days+$37
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 88¢ 100¢ $35 $40 +$5 (+14%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+100%)
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Team Heretics 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $46 +$6 +14%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$5 +98%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 14 $8 +$7 +80%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$7 +143%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $5 +$6 +116%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$4 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 48¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 99¢ $5 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 99¢ $10 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 98¢ $5 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 98¢ $5 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 96¢ $5 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $5 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Team Heretics 47¢ $7 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 35¢ $5 4h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Leviatán Esports 65¢ $6 4h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 50¢ $5 5h
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) BUY Team Heretics 75¢ $5 7h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 7h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $1 10h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 48¢ $1 23h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 64¢ $1 23h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 63¢ $1 23h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 52¢ $5 24h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 40¢ $5 25h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 95¢ $5 28h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 86¢ $5 29h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 61¢ $5 29h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+51.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +67.6% +51.6% 100% 100% +33.0%
≤30d 8 +67.6% +51.6% 100% 100% +33.0%
≤90d 8 +67.6% +51.6% 100% 100% +33.0%
all 8 +67.6% +51.6% 100% 100% +33.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +51.6% 100% +33.0%
10% +37.1% 75% +20.3%
15% +23.9% 50% +8.7%
20% +11.7% 50% -2.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.67 · official $56.67 (match) · 28 history records