Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f33…914e
other · 600 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10,957 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,081 · open +$1,897
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15,803
Realized−$13,081
Unrealized+$1,897
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses182 / 487
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$309
Open positions82
Markets (closed)669 / 600
History coverage54d
Avg bet$286
Trades / day50.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 82 History 669 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,109
7 days−$12,026
14 days−$9,619
30 days−$11,521
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 73¢ 99¢ $2,223 $3,005 +$781 (+35%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1,962 $1,945 −$17 (-1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? No 36¢ 92¢ $706 $1,780 +$1,075 (+152%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 62¢ 57¢ $1,168 $1,076 −$92 (-8%)
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 51¢ 54¢ $534 $560 +$26 (+5%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 25¢ $347 $511 +$164 (+47%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 66¢ 68¢ $458 $465 +$7 (+2%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? No 89¢ 88¢ $427 $426 −$1 (-0%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? No 76¢ 86¢ $349 $392 +$43 (+12%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 90¢ $343 $365 +$22 (+7%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 66¢ $285 $292 +$7 (+2%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? No 91¢ 95¢ $273 $285 +$12 (+4%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? No 83¢ 92¢ $246 $273 +$27 (+11%)
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 92¢ $243 $263 +$20 (+8%)
France leading at halftime? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $260 $263 +$3 (+1%)
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Spain 73¢ 74¢ $257 $258 +$2 (+1%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 53¢ 53¢ $252 $252 +$0 (+0%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 29¢ 23¢ $299 $242 −$57 (-19%)
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 28¢ 48¢ $124 $218 +$94 (+76%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 63¢ 96¢ $125 $189 +$64 (+52%)
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? No 77¢ 96¢ $153 $189 +$36 (+24%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June? Yes 64¢ 84¢ $114 $150 +$36 (+31%)
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No 48¢ 44¢ $151 $139 −$12 (-8%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? Yes 43¢ 36¢ $163 $133 −$30 (-18%)
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No 70¢ 80¢ $115 $132 +$17 (+15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $137 −$137 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 8, 5PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 18, 7AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Celtics vs. 76ers Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $302 −$268 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on April 10? Jun 13 $289 −$296 -102%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 5AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group St Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 20, 10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 13 $168 −$168 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12? Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 13 $28 +$8 +29%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? Jun 13 $25 −$26 -103%
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Ph Jun 13 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12PM ET Jun 13 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3PM ET Jun 13 $241 −$241 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 3AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Pistons vs. 76ers Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs BALU (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qual Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 5? Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Jun 13 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $69 −$22 -32%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playof Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $800 −$800 -100%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Lakers vs. Mavericks Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $7 +$30 +432%
BNB Up or Down - April 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 32% +$296
sports 18% +$5,443
politics 16% −$1,813
tech 14% +$3,059
crypto 13% −$3,827
finance 3% +$240
economics 3% −$172
world 0% −$30
weather 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 99¢ $197 34m
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $63 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $63 1h
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $72 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $22 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $14 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $14 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $61 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $40 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $71 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $6 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1,986 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $87 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $11 2h
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30? BUY No 77¢ $49 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $12 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $69 3h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 3h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 -65.0% -68.3% 11% 9% -47.5%
≤30d 466 -24.7% -31.8% 22% 16% -19.5%
≤90d 669 -10.4% -18.9% 27% 19% -18.5%
all 669 -10.4% -18.9% 27% 19% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 19% -18.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 15% -26.3%
15% -33.8% 13% -33.4%
20% -40.3% 10% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15,802.58 · official $15,802.52 (match) · 3500 history records