Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f2f…008e
crypto · 373 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses196 / 177
Open positions0
Markets (closed)373 / 373
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day50.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 373 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$3
14 days−$21
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$6 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -10.4% -18.9% 63% 46% -10.3%
≤30d 373 -18.3% -26.1% 53% 40% -14.1%
≤90d 373 -18.3% -26.1% 53% 40% -14.1%
all 373 -18.3% -26.1% 53% 40% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.1% 40% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -33.1% 29% -22.3%
15% -39.6% 23% -29.8%
20% -45.5% 16% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1110 history records