Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T14:26:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7F 0x7f1e…d7fb crypto 44 markets active 19d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1923 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$19,301 (+99%) realized +$19,301 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -92% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -94% what you keep after slip
Net edge-94%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate2%13W / 531L
Whale WR36%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$443per market
Trades / day1923.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1923 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-92.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 500 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 544 -91.8% -92.5% 2% 0% -20.9%
≤90d 544 -91.8% -92.5% 2% 0% -20.9%
all 544 -91.8% -92.5% 2% 0% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1923.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -92.5% 0% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -93.3% 0% -28.5%
15% -93.9% 0% -35.4%
20% -94.5% 0% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 63% · top 2 74% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -92% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 36% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -84% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
78.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$38 vs −$6 · ×6.16 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.15 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19,301
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses13 / 531
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)544 / 44
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$443
Trades / day1923.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 544 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 29 $72 −$72 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 29 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 29 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records