Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7eff…7196
crypto · 28 markets active 2d ago
0.5score
+$67,305 +54%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$67,170 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$67,170
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses13 / 15
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage597d
Avg bet$4,415
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12,712
7 days+$12,712
14 days+$12,712
30 days+$12,712
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $575 $0 −$575 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $27,600 +$12,600 +46%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $1,088 +$112 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 14 $583 −$575 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Mar 14 $135 −$108 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Mar 14 $11 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Mar 14 $100 +$60 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Mar 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Mar 13 $109 −$108 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Mar 13 $61 −$21 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Mar 13 $77 +$21 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 13 $236 +$103 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Mar 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Mar 13 $70 −$35 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Mar 13 $11 +$38 +350%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Mar 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Mar 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Mar 13 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Mar 13 $256 +$50 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? Oct 03 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December? Dec 16 $160 +$35 +22%
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? Dec 16 $4,810 −$4,668 -97%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 06 $27,929 +$31,505 +113%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 06 $41,895 +$26,441 +63%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 06 $694 +$1,861 +268%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 05 $17,178 +$369 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 71% +$60,176
tech 23% +$12,712
crypto 6% −$5,718
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 66¢ $6,600 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 66¢ $6,600 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $70 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $70 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $102 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $88 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $20 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $179 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $120 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $243 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 70¢ $2,601 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $6,192 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $55 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $38 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 89¢ $154 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 89¢ $24 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $19 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $225 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $570 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 73¢ $3,596 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 73¢ $54 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 74¢ $150 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 91¢ $910 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $583 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $98 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $25 91d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $100 91d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +28.0% +15.8% 100% 50% +30.6%
≤30d 2 +28.0% +15.8% 100% 50% +30.6%
≤90d 2 +28.0% +15.8% 100% 50% +30.6%
all 28 -12.0% -20.4% 46% 36% +39.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 36% +39.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 29% +26.3%
15% -34.9% 25% +14.1%
20% -41.3% 18% +2.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 345 history records