Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:09:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7ef9…3f42
crypto · 1053 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$375 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$375 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$375
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses93 / 654
Open positions0
Markets (closed)747 / 1053
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day871.1
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 747 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$375
14 days+$375
30 days+$375
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$617
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $41 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $39 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $61 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-44.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 747 -39.0% -44.8% 12% 3% -9.0%
≤30d 747 -39.0% -44.8% 12% 3% -9.0%
≤90d 747 -39.0% -44.8% 12% 3% -9.0%
all 747 -39.0% -44.8% 12% 3% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover871.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.8% 3% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -50.1% 2% -17.7%
15% -54.9% 2% -25.7%
20% -59.3% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records