trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +62.2% | +46.8% | 14% | 14% | -24.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +62.2% | +46.8% | 14% | 14% | -24.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +16.5% | +5.4% | 14% | 14% | -65.4% |
| all | 22 | +16.5% | +5.4% | 14% | 14% | -65.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.4% | 14% | -65.4% |
| 10% | -4.7% | 14% | -68.7% |
| 15% | -13.9% | 14% | -71.7% |
| 20% | -22.4% | 14% | -74.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 7¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +226% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$19 | +1845% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $5 | +$8 | +150% |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 11 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |