Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:37:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7edd…3ae8
sports · 204 markets active 2h ago
5.5score
+$275 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$290 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$220
Realized+$290
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses102 / 81
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions21
Markets (closed)183 / 204
History coverage119d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 21 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$67
7 days+$67
14 days−$55
30 days+$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 94¢ 100¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+6%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+2%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 82¢ 94¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+14%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 90¢ 93¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 93¢ 95¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes 91¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 52¢ 18¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-66%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 33¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-32%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 51¢ 12¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-75%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-70%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-86%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-94%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 43¢ 1¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) Maycee Barber 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic Stefan Dostanic 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Celtics vs. 76ers 76ers 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $10 +$7 +73%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 13 $20 +$22 +109%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 13 $24 +$25 +101%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 05 $23 −$23 -98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $71 −$70 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 05 $18 −$8 -43%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 Jun 02 $8 +$1 +10%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 02 $20 +$26 +129%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 02 $60 $0 +0%
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Arantxa Rus vs Anastasia Tikhonova May 30 $10 $0 -3%
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Luisina Giovannini vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De May 30 $10 $0 -3%
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang May 30 $10 +$9 +90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27? May 30 $20 $0 +1%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 30 $20 +$14 +67%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 30 $61 +$9 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? May 27 $10 −$10 -96%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $20 −$20 -98%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic May 27 $10 −$10 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels May 27 $20 −$9 -46%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 27 $10 +$6 +62%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles May 27 $10 +$7 +73%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers May 27 $10 +$8 +76%
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals May 27 $10 +$9 +90%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz May 27 $10 +$9 +92%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants May 27 $10 +$9 +93%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 27 $10 +$9 +93%
ITF Luan: Qian Sun vs Kosuke Ogura May 27 $10 +$11 +105%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 27 $10 +$12 +119%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees May 27 $10 +$14 +134%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 27 $41 −$6 -14%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres May 27 $30 +$5 +16%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 27 $41 +$4 +10%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche May 27 $20 +$35 +172%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 27 $41 +$39 +97%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 27 $41 +$48 +119%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 23 $20 −$20 -99%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 23 $41 −$40 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $41 −$40 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$320
world 5% −$24
crypto 3% −$21
other 1% +$1
economics 1% −$4
tech 1% +$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 48¢ $20 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $30 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 48¢ $23 7d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 49¢ $24 7d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers BUY Cleveland Guardians 55¢ $10 7d
Athletics vs. Houston Astros BUY Athletics 51¢ $10 7d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves BUY Atlanta Braves 58¢ $10 7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins BUY Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ $10 7d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 58¢ $10 7d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 58¢ $10 7d
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Seattle Mariners 56¢ $10 7d
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies BUY Philadelphia Phillies 63¢ $10 7d
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs BUY Chicago Cubs 61¢ $10 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $30 7d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $20 7d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $20 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $40 7d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 43¢ $20 13d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27? BUY Yes 98¢ $20 16d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Hanwha Life Esports 40¢ $20 16d
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens BUY Canadiens 42¢ $20 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +82.2% +64.8% 100% 100% +71.4%
≤30d 78 +12.5% +1.8% 59% 50% -1.9%
≤90d 172 +6.8% -3.3% 55% 49% -0.6%
all 183 +7.3% -2.9% 56% 50% -0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.9% 50% -0.2%
10% -12.2% 46% -9.8%
15% -20.7% 44% -18.5%
20% -28.4% 43% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $219.68 · official $219.69 (match) · 334 history records