Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7edb…7993
sports · 24 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$54,075 -96%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54,027 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,227
Realized−$54,027
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses12 / 486
Whale WR (big bets)24%
Est. fees paid−$724
Open positions12
Markets (closed)498 / 24
Avg bet$2,344
Trades / day3477.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 12 History 498 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54,027
7 days−$54,027
14 days−$54,027
30 days−$54,027
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 56¢ 50¢ $266 $239 −$27 (-10%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 66¢ 66¢ $207 $208 +$1 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 60¢ $162 $173 +$10 (+6%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 52¢ $138 $142 +$4 (+3%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 81¢ 81¢ $141 $141 +$0 (+0%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 50¢ 50¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 60¢ $30 $37 +$7 (+22%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 49¢ 48¢ $33 $33 −$1 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 40¢ $39 $30 −$9 (-23%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 56¢ 56¢ $26 $27 +$0 (+0%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 41¢ 40¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-2%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 34¢ 34¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-2%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 69¢ 65¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-6%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 49¢ 50¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+2%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 19¢ 18¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 43¢ 44¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 60¢ 60¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 37¢ 40¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+9%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Gabriela Ruse 36¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 67¢ 68¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Barbora Krejcikova 64¢ 64¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 55¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
ITF Grado: Oliver Crawford vs Gianmarco Ferrari Oliver Crawford 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 12 $266 −$27 -10%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
ITF Grado: Oliver Crawford vs Gianmarco Ferrari Jun 12 $0 $0 +12%
Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$15 -195%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jun 12 $80 −$75 -94%
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $14 −$61 -438%
Will Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $9 −$20 -222%
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? Jun 12 $17 −$77 -447%
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28? Jun 12 $101 −$201 -200%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $19 −$19 -102%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $16 −$67 -419%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $533 −$537 -101%
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $22 −$30 -136%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Once Caldas vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$22 -200%
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw? Jun 12 $34 −$85 -252%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $40 −$100 -248%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $51 −$124 -244%
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$9 -240%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Antonia Ruzic vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will France win on 2026-03-29? Jun 12 $70 −$181 -258%
Will FC Famalicão vs. CD Nacional end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$29 -205%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $12 −$12 -103%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-05? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -108%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $9 +$11 +126%
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Puebla end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 −$13 -209%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $9 −$24 -269%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? Jun 12 $52 −$109 -208%
Will RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $81 −$81 -99%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21? Jun 12 $12 −$27 -216%
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07? Jun 12 $53 −$53 -99%
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 +$12 +108%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30? Jun 12 $13 −$37 -278%
Will Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $295 −$28 -9%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10? Jun 12 $74 −$211 -286%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-19? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -102%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $18 −$63 -350%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $12 −$27 -221%
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? Jun 12 $18 −$61 -344%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$1,110
other 43% −$3,921
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 35¢ $2 0m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 64¢ $3 0m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 37¢ $2 1m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $6 5m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 43¢ $5 13m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $7 14m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 43¢ $5 24m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $7 28m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 57¢ $7 31m
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 17¢ $1 42m
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 8¢ $0 49m
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 8¢ $0 50m
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 8¢ $0 51m
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 12¢ $1 54m
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 14¢ $1 59m
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 18¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 16¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 22¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 20¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 22¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 21¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 20¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 26¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 26¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 18¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 20¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 20¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka SELL Viktoria Morvayova 22¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 21¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-94.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 498 -93.8% -94.4% 2% 2% -41.5%
≤30d 498 -93.8% -94.4% 2% 2% -41.5%
≤90d 498 -93.8% -94.4% 2% 2% -41.5%
all 498 -93.8% -94.4% 2% 2% -41.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3477.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -94.4% 2% -41.5%
10% ← realistic here -95.0% 1% -47.1%
15% -95.4% 1% -52.2%
20% -95.9% 0% -56.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,227.30 · official $1,226.28 (match) · 3500 history records