Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:05:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7edb…6b35
sports · 767 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$101 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$118
Realized−$88
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses326 / 416
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions25
Markets (closed)742 / 767
History coverage35d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 25 History 742 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$78
14 days−$78
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Vitality 86¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 45¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$5 (+122%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 70¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs MASONIC 26¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+277%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Celine Naef 34¢ 96¢ $3 $10 +$6 (+182%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 82¢ 88¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+8%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jesper de Jong 58¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+72%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 73¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+37%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 32¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+212%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 26¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+284%)
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 44¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+126%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Solary 90¢ 94¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+4%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 26¢ 46¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+75%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 36¢ 46¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+28%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 50¢ 80¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+59%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 55¢ 38¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-32%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 44¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-19%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner UCAM Esports Club 36¢ 36¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 38¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Misa Esports 28¢ 11¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-61%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Mary Stoiana 62¢ 4¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-94%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Johannus Monday 26¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-94%)
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Anna-Lena Friedsam 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $13 −$3 -23%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $6 −$1 -19%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $9 −$4 -44%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$1 -22%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $8 +$2 +27%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $5 +$5 +98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$3 +188%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $11 −$1 -8%
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $1 +$4 +307%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Ivan Biletic Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $2 +$3 +158%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk Jun 13 $4 +$2 +43%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
ITF Varnamo: Aristotelis Thanos vs Niels Mcdonald Jun 13 $3 +$2 +49%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ilay Yoruk Jun 13 $2 +$3 +206%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Demin vs. Chepelev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$87
crypto 16% −$10
other 4% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 42¢ $2 17m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 46¢ $2 17m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 38¢ $2 18m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Solary 90¢ $5 35m
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Misa Esports 28¢ $1 52m
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Misa Esports 28¢ $1 52m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 26¢ $1 53m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 26¢ $1 53m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 26¢ $1 54m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 55¢ $3 57m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 36¢ $2 57m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 55¢ $3 57m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 32¢ $2 59m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY UCAM Esports Club 26¢ $1 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY UCAM Esports Club 26¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 62¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $4 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 68¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 68¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 74¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 50¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 34¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 34¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 86¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 86¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 42¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 42¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 82¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 82¢ $4 1h
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 32¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 561 -4.0% -13.1% 51% 47% -13.3%
≤30d 570 -4.6% -13.7% 51% 46% -13.5%
≤90d 742 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 39% -13.1%
all 742 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 39% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 39% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 33% -21.4%
15% -30.1% 27% -29.0%
20% -37.0% 21% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.89 · official $118.89 (match) · 1580 history records