trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 11 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 36% | 9% | +50.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.3% | 9% | +50.8% |
| 10% | -10.7% | 9% | +36.4% |
| 15% | -19.3% | 9% | +23.2% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 9% | +11.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16? | Apr 21 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 20? | Mar 23 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Feb 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Feb 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the | Feb 16 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Taro Kono be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 | Feb 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66? | Feb 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026 | Feb 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Yōko Kamikawa be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2 | Feb 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026 | Feb 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3AM ET | Feb 12 | $148 | +$148 | +100% |