Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:53:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7ecc…7730
sports · 160 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$46 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$216
Realized−$55
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses80 / 63
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions17
Markets (closed)143 / 160
History coverage91d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 17 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days−$1
14 days+$46
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+4%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 53¢ 52¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 80¢ 78¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 72¢ 99¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+38%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 77¢ 94¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+23%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 54¢ 57¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers 65¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 89¢ 96¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+8%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 72¢ 46¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-35%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 75¢ 80¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+6%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 89¢ 94¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 50¢ 20¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-59%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury 55¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-66%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Bruins vs. Sabres Sabres 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) Tabatha Ricci 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Pelicans Clippers 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 78¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 14 $10 +$3 +25%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 14 $10 +$5 +50%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Jodie Burrage vs Anna Blinkova Jun 14 $10 +$5 +50%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 14 $20 +$14 +70%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 14 $20 +$18 +90%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Berta Passola Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the Jun 07 $5 +$1 +18%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 02 $6 +$1 +24%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 02 $13 $0 +2%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 Jun 02 $12 +$3 +28%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 02 $10 +$7 +73%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 02 $10 +$8 +76%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 02 $20 +$12 +60%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Jun 02 $20 +$15 +73%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $6 −$6 -99%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 25 $10 −$10 -99%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kali May 25 $9 +$7 +70%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 25 $20 +$10 +48%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic May 25 $20 +$11 +52%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche May 20 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May? May 20 $5 +$1 +26%
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamoto May 20 $10 +$4 +44%
Paris: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova May 20 $10 +$5 +48%
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch May 20 $10 +$8 +83%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants May 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane May 14 $10 −$10 -99%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA May 14 $20 −$20 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics May 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers May 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8? May 14 $5 $0 +3%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 14 $20 +$10 +50%
Golden Knights vs. Ducks May 14 $20 +$19 +93%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 14 $20 +$20 +97%
Avalanche vs. Wild May 08 $20 −$20 -99%
Canadiens vs. Sabres May 08 $20 −$20 -99%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 08 $3 −$3 -100%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz May 08 $10 +$7 +67%
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies May 08 $10 +$8 +83%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights May 08 $20 +$12 +60%
76ers vs. Knicks May 08 $30 +$12 +40%
Flyers vs. Hurricanes May 08 $30 +$12 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$72
crypto 8% +$5
world 3% +$3
tech 2% +$7
economics 1% −$2
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 55¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 72¢ $10 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 77¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 80¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 53¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? BUY Yes 79¢ $10 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 96¢ $10 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 6d
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire BUY Worcestershire 52¢ $10 6d
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Berta Passola BUY Andre Lukosiute 55¢ $10 6d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Alexandra Eala 66¢ $10 6d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Jodie Burrage vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 66¢ $10 6d
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 57¢ $10 6d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 52¢ $20 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 58¢ $20 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $20 6d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ $6 19d
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens BUY Hurricanes 56¢ $10 19d
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights BUY Avalanche 53¢ $10 19d
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens BUY Hurricanes 57¢ $10 19d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 62¢ $20 19d
Knicks vs. Cavaliers BUY Knicks 57¢ $20 19d
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kali BUY Anhelina Kalinina 58¢ $9 24d
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Navarro 65¢ $20 24d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Tampa Bay Rays 54¢ $10 24d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals BUY Milwaukee Brewers 65¢ $10 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -5.5% -14.5% 69% 54% -10.4%
≤30d 30 +11.2% +0.6% 77% 67% +4.4%
≤90d 140 -2.3% -11.6% 57% 52% -10.8%
all 143 -4.4% -13.5% 56% 51% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.5% 51% -12.2%
10% -21.8% 49% -20.6%
15% -29.3% 43% -28.2%
20% -36.2% 35% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $215.75 · official $215.74 (match) · 273 history records