Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T06:34:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7ec3…d814 crypto 191 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (294 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$19 (+1%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate61%117W / 74L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day294.3pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$94
sports 8% +$60
other 4% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (294 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 +21.6% +10.0% 61% 52% -11.0%
≤30d 191 +21.6% +10.0% 61% 52% -11.0%
≤90d 191 +21.6% +10.0% 61% 52% -11.0%
all 191 +21.6% +10.0% 61% 52% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover294.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.0% 52% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -0.5% 47% -19.5%
15% -10.1% 40% -27.3%
20% -18.9% 13% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +22% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late +24% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$11 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses117 / 74
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 191
History coverage3d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day294.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 191 Trades
no open positions (49 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $36 −$21 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 27 $35 −$14 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $12 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $42 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $35 +$15 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $43 −$8 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $16 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $145 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 27 $53 +$16 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $29 −$20 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$53 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $113 −$33 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $61 +$23 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $35 +$15 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 27 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 27 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 27 $14 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 27 $23 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 27 $34 +$13 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 27 $35 +$15 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $17 +$9 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $18 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 917 history records