Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:54:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7eaf…7180
crypto · 534 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses238 / 295
Open positions1
Markets (closed)533 / 534
History coverage24d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day121.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$52
14 days−$11
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 0¢ 44¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$14 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$19 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$11 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$16 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$21 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$18 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$13 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
other 0% +$2
tech 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 -3.6% -12.8% 45% 44% -8.2%
≤30d 533 -6.7% -15.6% 45% 43% -10.2%
≤90d 533 -6.7% -15.6% 45% 43% -10.2%
all 533 -6.7% -15.6% 45% 43% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 43% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 40% -18.8%
15% -31.1% 38% -26.6%
20% -37.8% 34% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.23 · official $1.82 (match) · 3500 history records