Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7eae…9694
crypto · 890 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$481 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$481 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$481
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses568 / 343
Open positions0
Markets (closed)911 / 890
History coverage133d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day21.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 911 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$51
14 days−$72
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$16 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$6 -131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$17 -496%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$20 +2893%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -4386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$10 +2919%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$402
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 381 +7.9% -2.3% 63% 57% -12.4%
≤30d 739 +5.8% -4.2% 66% 60% -11.8%
≤90d 739 +5.8% -4.2% 66% 60% -11.8%
all 911 +2.7% -7.1% 62% 55% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 55% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 43% -22.6%
15% -24.1% 30% -30.1%
20% -31.6% 18% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records