Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:00:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7ead…9eb9 crypto 5 markets active 2d ago coverage 3d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$4,058 (-59%) realized −$3,421 · open −$637
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,384per market
Trades / day48.5pace
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$2,607now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 52% −$3,421
other 48% −$637
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
25.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$1,140 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$2,607
Realized−$3,421
Unrealized−$637
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1,384
Trades / day48.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 3 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2,494 $2,186 −$309 (-12%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $750 $422 −$328 (-44%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $2,412 −$2,325 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $970 −$911 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Jun 17 $198 −$185 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $3 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $12 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $1 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $1 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $94 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $40 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $40 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $1 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $1 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $28 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $0 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $2 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $15 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $1 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $0 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $56 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $2 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 4¢ $93 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $215 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $0 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $0 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $6 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $7 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $4 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $0 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $255 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $36 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $2 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $3 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 13¢ $3 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,607.41 · official $2,607.41 (match) · 131 history records