Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:52:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7eac…a3f5 crypto 1617 markets active 3d ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$175 (-0%) realized −$175 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate98%1579W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day73.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$55
14 days−$120
30 days−$279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$279
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -1.1% -10.6% 97% 2% -10.6%
≤30d 1616 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 2% -9.9%
≤90d 1616 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 2% -9.9%
all 1616 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 2% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 2% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 1% -18.5%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$49 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1579 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1616 / 1617
History coverage22d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day73.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1616 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.86 · official $0.00 (match) · 3195 history records