Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7eaa…b6ab
crypto · 563 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$959 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$961 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$961
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses280 / 283
Open positions1
Markets (closed)563 / 563
History coverage128d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day22.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 563 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$85
14 days+$85
30 days−$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 0¢ 40¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -527%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -3528%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$8 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$17 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$24 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$12 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$20 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$958
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -15.8% -23.8% 45% 41% -7.7%
≤30d 432 -14.2% -22.4% 44% 37% -13.1%
≤90d 432 -14.2% -22.4% 44% 37% -13.1%
all 563 -12.2% -20.6% 50% 37% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 37% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 29% -24.4%
15% -35.1% 24% -31.7%
20% -41.5% 18% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.02 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records