trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 19 | $1,007 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market | Jun 19 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $1,047 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 19 | $1,062 | −$2 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 18 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $988 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Serie | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,000 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 17 | $1,095 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | Jun 17 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $989 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,028 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $281 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 02 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 02 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 02 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Mar 29 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Mar 29 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | Mar 29 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 24 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 24 | $33 | $0 | -0% |