trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $23 | $28 | +$5 (+21%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $21 | $23 | +$2 (+10%) |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 22¢ | 23¢ | $14 | $15 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $14 | $11 | −$3 (-24%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 45¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-23%) |
| Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Magic | 24¢ | 0¢ | $14 | $0 | −$14 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 38¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | Rico | 2¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Golden Knights | 45¢ | 0¢ | $28 | $0 | −$28 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Spurs | 57¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 1¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1AM ET | Up | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | 76ers | 25¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5 | Under | 46¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Golden Knights | 31¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 30¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $0 | −$16 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Spurs | 23¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Spurs | 28¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez | Zurdo | 20¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Spurs | 52¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Thunder | 24¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 10¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 | Over | 3¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $14 | +$25 | +177% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $21 | −$16 | -75% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 07 | $5 | +$5 | +91% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 06 | $15 | −$10 | -66% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | Jun 06 | $5 | +$5 | +107% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 05 | $28 | −$28 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | Jun 04 | $16 | −$10 | -64% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 03 | $8 | +$12 | +147% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $20 | +$22 | +108% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $18 | +$3 | +18% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics | May 26 | $2 | +$1 | +24% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5 | May 26 | $3 | −$1 | -24% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 25 | $11 | +$12 | +108% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 23 | $21 | +$27 | +128% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 23 | $5 | +$10 | +203% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 21 | $3 | +$4 | +145% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez | May 03 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 18 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 18 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 16 | $3 | +$10 | +346% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5 | Apr 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1AM ET | Apr 15 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Apr 15 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 13 | $4 | +$9 | +218% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +12.8% | +2.1% | 50% | 50% | -3.3% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +78.4% | +61.4% | 44% | 44% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 41 | +36.1% | +23.1% | 34% | 34% | -25.7% |
| all | 41 | +36.1% | +23.1% | 34% | 34% | -25.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +23.1% | 34% | -25.7% |
| 10% | +11.4% | 32% | -32.8% |
| 15% | +0.6% | 32% | -39.3% |
| 20% | -9.3% | 32% | -45.2% |