trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 40% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +22.1% | +10.4% | 50% | 17% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +11.7% | +1.1% | 50% | 10% | -8.5% |
| all | 21 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 48% | 10% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.1% | 10% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -11.5% | 10% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -20.1% | 10% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -27.9% | 5% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 15¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $81 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 11 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 10 | $47 | −$5 | -10% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Mar 20 | $2 | $0 | -22% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 20 | $154 | +$11 | +7% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 20 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 19 | $175 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 17 | $140 | +$6 | +4% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5 | Mar 17 | $142 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 16 | $6 | +$3 | +47% |
| Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5 | Mar 16 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 27 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | May 19 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | May 18 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 17 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | May 16 | $24 | $0 | -0% |