Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T20:29:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7e93…3de6 crypto 1592 markets active 1h ago coverage 62d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 61d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$741 (-3%) realized −$741 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%835W / 757L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day36.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$505
7 days−$689
14 days−$683
30 days−$695
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,055
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 271 -7.0% -15.8% 49% 49% -20.0%
≤30d 877 -2.3% -11.6% 53% 53% -13.0%
≤90d 1592 -2.6% -11.9% 52% 52% -13.2%
all 1592 -2.6% -11.9% 52% 52% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 52% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 52% -21.5%
15% -28.0% 52% -29.1%
20% -35.1% 52% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$16 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$741
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses835 / 757
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1592 / 1592
History coverage62d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day36.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1592 Trades
no open positions (415 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 26 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 25 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$50 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records