trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 12% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 31% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 31% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 26 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 42% | 0% | -11.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 0% | -11.9% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 0% | -20.3% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 0% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -35.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 72¢ | 74¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $52 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $52 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 09 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $28 | −$3 | -11% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 03 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 15 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | May 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | May 07 | $2 | −$1 | -56% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | Apr 24 | $7 | −$1 | -10% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 22 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 21 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $12 | $0 | +2% |