Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e83…2809
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses6 / 22
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)28 / 29
History coverage146d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? Feb 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jan 25 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jan 25 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET Jan 24 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5AM ET Jan 24 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3AM ET Jan 24 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET Jan 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11AM ET Jan 23 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ET Jan 23 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4AM ET Jan 23 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11PM ET Jan 22 $9 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9AM ET Jan 22 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7AM ET Jan 22 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6AM ET Jan 22 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5AM ET Jan 22 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ET Jan 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3AM ET Jan 22 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10PM ET Jan 22 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9PM ET Jan 22 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9PM ET Jan 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8PM ET Jan 21 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7PM ET Jan 21 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET Jan 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 19 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jan 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jan 19 $1 +$1 +54%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? Jan 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$33
other 4% −$4
sports 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 59m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 68¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $3 121d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 139d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $3 139d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 139d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 139d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 139d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 139d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 140d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $4 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $2 142d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-66.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +43.8% +30.1% 100% 100% +30.1%
≤30d 1 +43.8% +30.1% 100% 100% +30.1%
≤90d 1 +43.8% +30.1% 100% 100% +30.1%
all 28 -63.1% -66.6% 21% 14% -59.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -66.6% 14% -59.7%
10% -69.8% 7% -63.6%
15% -72.7% 7% -67.1%
20% -75.4% 4% -70.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 75 history records