Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:38:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e80…631b
other · 503 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,350 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$182 · open −$3,992
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,419
Realized+$182
Unrealized−$3,992
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses104 / 134
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions495
Markets (closed)238 / 503
Avg bet$60
Trades / day3417.0
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 495 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$182
7 days+$182
14 days+$182
30 days+$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No 90¢ 89¢ $180 $178 −$2 (-1%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 87¢ $177 $175 −$3 (-1%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? Yes 95¢ 95¢ $97 $97 −$0 (-0%)
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 85¢ 86¢ $84 $85 +$0 (+1%)
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 82¢ 82¢ $82 $83 +$1 (+1%)
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30? No 94¢ 81¢ $94 $81 −$13 (-13%)
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $72 $72 +$0 (+0%)
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? No 39¢ 34¢ $81 $71 −$9 (-12%)
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 70¢ 70¢ $66 $67 +$0 (+1%)
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch Yes 67¢ 58¢ $75 $65 −$10 (-13%)
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate? Yes 79¢ 79¢ $61 $61 +$0 (+0%)
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? No 74¢ 57¢ $74 $58 −$17 (-22%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 27¢ 27¢ $52 $52 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ismaïla Sarr score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 53¢ $57 $50 −$7 (-12%)
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Yes 70¢ 56¢ $62 $50 −$12 (-19%)
Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 92¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bernardo Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11? Yes 91¢ 92¢ $46 $46 +$1 (+1%)
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 23¢ 9¢ $115 $45 −$70 (-61%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 93¢ $45 $45 −$0 (-1%)
Will Arthur Theate be in Belgium's Starting 11? No 86¢ 88¢ $43 $44 +$1 (+3%)
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? No 88¢ 88¢ $44 $44 −$0 (-1%)
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $47 $44 −$3 (-7%)
Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11? No 91¢ 86¢ $46 $43 −$2 (-5%)
Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 86¢ $45 $43 −$2 (-5%)
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes 34¢ 26¢ $56 $43 −$13 (-24%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $136 −$52 -38%
Will Alisson Becker win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$21 +94%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $36 −$22 -62%
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video? Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $188 −$27 -14%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$21 +108%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $236 +$6 +3%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $43 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $1,049 +$6 +1%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $25 −$11 -43%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Jun 12 $12 −$1 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $441 +$11 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $40 +$8 +20%
Will South Korea reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Jun 12 $53 −$5 -9%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June? Jun 12 $37 +$34 +92%
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Will N'Golo Kanté be in France's Starting 11? Jun 12 $47 −$1 -2%
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Florida Smash Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? Jun 12 $28 −$14 -48%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $107 −$81 -76%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $52 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $47 −$36 -77%
Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $44 −$39 -89%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 12 $20 +$59 +292%
Will Yuito Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $52 −$17 -34%
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $40 −$35 -87%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? Jun 12 $189 $0 -0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -10%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? Jun 12 $26 $0 +1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 12 $17 +$12 +68%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $40 +$127 +316%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 12? Jun 12 $26 −$10 -39%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 12 $622 −$37 -6%
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $75 +$1 +2%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? Jun 12 $136 −$4 -3%
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? Jun 12 $13 −$1 -6%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $98 +$3 +3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $192 −$5 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $140 −$57 -41%
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA Wo Jun 12 $6 −$3 -43%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $40 −$24 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 32% −$3,964
world 27% +$44
weather 16% +$52
finance 12% +$95
tech 8% +$26
politics 3% +$32
culture 2% −$10
sports 1% −$42
crypto 0% −$41
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY No 90¢ $180 0m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? SELL Yes 35¢ $13 0m
Will Alisson Becker win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 0m
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 61¢ $12 0m
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular BUY Yes 59¢ $12 1m
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 2m
Will Arthur Theate be in Belgium's Starting 11? BUY No 86¢ $43 2m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? SELL Yes 47¢ $4 2m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? SELL No 91¢ $94 2m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 2m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 2m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY No 64¢ $32 2m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 51¢ $97 3m
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 49¢ $10 3m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? SELL No 3¢ $1 3m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 3m
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video? SELL Yes 91¢ $18 4m
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 75¢ $40 4m
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $11 4m
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 BUY No 57¢ $7 4m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? SELL Yes 6¢ $6 4m
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 5m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 53¢ $1 5m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? SELL No 90¢ $32 5m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 28¢ $7 7m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 28¢ $2 7m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin SELL No 28¢ $6 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? SELL No 90¢ $55 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 +31.1% +18.6% 44% 21% -8.8%
≤30d 238 +31.1% +18.6% 44% 21% -8.8%
≤90d 238 +31.1% +18.6% 44% 21% -8.8%
all 238 +31.1% +18.6% 44% 21% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3417.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.6% 21% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here +7.3% 15% -17.5%
15% -3.1% 13% -25.5%
20% -12.6% 11% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,419.00 · official $4,427.13 (match) · 3500 history records