Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:07:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7e7b…3a11 crypto 120 markets active 9h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$18 (-1%) realized −$18 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate48%58W / 62L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day50.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -11.1% -19.5% 48% 48% -12.0%
≤30d 120 -11.1% -19.5% 48% 48% -12.0%
≤90d 120 -11.1% -19.5% 48% 48% -12.0%
all 120 -11.1% -19.5% 48% 48% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 48% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 47% -20.4%
15% -34.3% 43% -28.1%
20% -40.7% 38% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$17 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses58 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
History coverage6d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day50.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 120 Trades
no open positions (61 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$7 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$11 +338%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$29 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$29 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$29 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $34 +$25 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $17 +$15 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$15 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$11 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$20 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$26 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$32 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $17 +$13 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $14 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $16 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $16 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $55 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 326 history records