Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e7a…2c0a
sports · 806 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$810 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$809 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$420
Realized−$809
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses429 / 368
Est. fees paid−$196
Open positions8
Markets (closed)797 / 806
History coverage93d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 797 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$235
7 days+$412
14 days+$311
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Over 67¢ 66¢ $113 $111 −$1 (-1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 55¢ 55¢ $74 $73 −$1 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5 Over 72¢ 72¢ $62 $62 +$0 (+0%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 Over 74¢ 74¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Over 66¢ 66¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Yes 66¢ 67¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ 30¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Over 61¢ 62¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Linda Fruhvirtova 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Pedro Martinez 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Senators (-1.5) Lightning 66¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Alliance 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Stars vs. Penguins Penguins 47¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5) Sporting Kansas City 69¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics Athletics 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Oeiras 3: Anouk Koevermans vs Robin Montgomery Anouk Koevermans 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 41¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo Gabriel Diallo 57¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) Timberwolves 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Seattle Mariners 52¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Jun 12 $30 +$26 +84%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$58 +283%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $20 +$12 +58%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $11 +$7 +65%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $25 +$16 +62%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$32 +158%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12 +$10 +79%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $7 +$5 +79%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $21 −$21 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $6 +$18 +291%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $16 +$25 +152%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $15 +$11 +70%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $20 +$12 +60%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $61 +$27 +44%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $30 +$14 +48%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $26 +$10 +39%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 10 $25 −$25 -99%
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) Jun 10 $8 +$3 +38%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$7 +238%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Jun 10 $18 +$10 +52%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $32 +$23 +70%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $23 +$10 +44%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $38 +$12 +31%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $52 +$15 +29%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5 Jun 09 $22 −$3 -12%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 09 $48 +$45 +95%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 09 $27 −$27 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $41 +$18 +44%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 09 $22 +$18 +83%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Jun 09 $17 −$17 -98%
Nanterre vs. Monaco Jun 08 $10 +$9 +92%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $61 +$26 +44%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 +$35 +172%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $24 +$16 +67%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $35 +$18 +52%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Alexander Vasilev Jun 07 $14 $0 -2%
Lyon: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Dali Blanch Jun 07 $72 −$2 -3%
Cattolica: Luka Mikrut vs Ioannis Xilas Jun 07 $14 $0 -3%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v Jun 07 $25 −$25 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 07 $21 −$21 -99%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 07 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 06 $24 +$42 +172%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 06 $30 +$13 +42%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mert Alkaya Jun 06 $295 −$10 -3%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 05 $20 +$11 +55%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Jun 05 $101 −$100 -99%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $8 +$7 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$865
other 0% +$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. BUY Yes 53¢ $30 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 66¢ $51 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 55¢ $75 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 72¢ $63 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 74¢ $53 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 67¢ $94 1h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. BUY Yes 66¢ $30 15h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 61¢ $12 15h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ $29 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 79¢ $79 20h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 20¢ $20 20h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina BUY 2¢ $10 22h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 54¢ $11 22h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 66¢ $20 22h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 79¢ $32 22h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) SELL Baltimore Orioles 56¢ $19 22h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 61¢ $25 24h
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 38¢ $20 35h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $12 35h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 49¢ $20 35h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 33¢ $11 35h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 49¢ $5 35h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 58¢ $21 45h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 55¢ $7 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 67¢ $30 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 25¢ $6 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 39¢ $16 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 58¢ $15 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 69¢ $61 2d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 52¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +40.7% +27.3% 68% 68% +16.9%
≤30d 170 +1.9% -7.8% 52% 52% -10.8%
≤90d 785 -4.2% -13.3% 54% 54% -12.9%
all 797 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 53% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.5% 53% -13.4%
10% -21.8% 52% -21.7%
15% -29.4% 50% -29.3%
20% -36.3% 40% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $419.73 · official $419.73 (match) · 1412 history records