Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:56:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e71…05d5
other · 21 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions17
Markets (closed)4 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit24%
Chart Positions 17 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+453%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 47¢ 24¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-47%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Under 83¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+113%)
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Yes 29¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+244%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 11¢ 21¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+91%)
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals Yes 38¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Raphinha: 1+ goals No 89¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals Yes 42¢ 42¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30¢ 26¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-69%)
Brazil leading at halftime? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -92%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% $0
sports 20% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 73¢ $1 0m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 83¢ $5 21m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 22m
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals SELL Yes 2¢ $0 29m
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY No 89¢ $1 47m
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals BUY Yes 42¢ $1 50m
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals BUY Yes 38¢ $2 51m
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals BUY Yes 25¢ $1 58m
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 59m
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 19¢ $1 1h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 1h
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 29¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 3h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 3h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-66.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
≤30d 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
≤90d 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
all 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.0% 25% -65.8%
10% ← realistic here -69.3% 25% -69.1%
15% -72.2% 25% -72.1%
20% -75.0% 0% -74.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.79 · official $51.79 (match) · 27 history records