Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:06:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7e61…5b5d crypto 117 markets active 2h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (357 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$9,837 (+16%) realized +$9,837 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate59%69W / 48L
Whale WR57%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$538per market
Trades / day357.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 9d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,917
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (357 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +8.3% -2.0% 58% 58% -6.2%
≤30d 117 +10.0% -0.4% 59% 59% -3.9%
≤90d 117 +10.0% -0.4% 59% 59% -3.9%
all 117 +10.0% -0.4% 59% 59% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover357.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 59% -3.9%
10% -10.0% 59% -13.1%
15% ← realistic here -18.7% 59% -21.5%
20% -26.6% 59% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 57% (≥$646) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late +16% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
28.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$449 vs −$564 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9,837
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses69 / 48
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$538
Trades / day357.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 117 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $1,104 −$1,104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $1,033 +$880 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET Jun 17 $1,057 −$1,057 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $409 +$348 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $1,184 −$1,184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $710 +$605 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $1,064 +$906 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $41 +$35 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $387 +$329 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $618 +$527 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $593 +$505 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $786 +$668 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $501 +$424 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $516 +$440 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $337 −$337 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $559 −$559 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $534 +$462 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $517 +$439 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $746 +$635 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $431 +$363 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $107 +$91 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $443 +$377 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $262 +$238 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $650 +$553 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $557 +$475 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $367 +$312 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $398 −$398 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $381 +$325 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $403 −$403 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET Jun 15 $505 +$464 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $543 +$462 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $313 +$265 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $433 −$433 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $412 +$351 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $438 −$438 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $386 −$386 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $610 +$520 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $458 −$458 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $487 −$487 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $392 +$329 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $407 +$347 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $376 −$376 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $357 +$304 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $435 −$435 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $402 −$402 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $381 +$325 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $580 +$494 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $453 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $453 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $108 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $186 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $544 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $22 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records