Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e5d…c4c3
crypto · 50 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,592 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,483 · open −$110
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24,340
Realized−$9,483
Unrealized−$110
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses24 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)37%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)105 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$645
Trades / day3453.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,483
7 days−$9,483
14 days−$9,483
30 days−$9,483
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $5,377 $12,180 +$6,803 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $2,684 $6,037 +$3,354 (+125%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $1,910 $4,372 +$2,462 (+129%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $336 $843 +$508 (+151%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 40¢ 55¢ $440 $598 +$159 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 68¢ 46¢ $337 $225 −$111 (-33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 61¢ 30¢ $150 $75 −$75 (-50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 47¢ 69¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+48%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $442 $0 −$442 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2,378 $0 −$2,378 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2,249 −$2,249 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2,378 −$2,378 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $672 −$672 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $393 −$393 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$136 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$892
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $59 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $51 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $39 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $52 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $34 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-54.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -49.2% -54.1% 23% 14% -30.8%
≤30d 105 -49.2% -54.1% 23% 14% -30.8%
≤90d 105 -49.2% -54.1% 23% 14% -30.8%
all 105 -49.2% -54.1% 23% 14% -30.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3453.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.1% 14% -30.8%
10% ← realistic here -58.5% 9% -37.5%
15% -62.5% 9% -43.5%
20% -66.1% 3% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24,339.88 · official $24,216.08 (match) · 3500 history records