Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T04:35:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7e50…4b22 sports 21 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$52 (-6%) realized −$14 · open −$38
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day21.0pace
Fees−$13est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$817now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$50 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$817
Realized−$14
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions20
Markets (closed)1 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 20 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A AlQadsiah Esports 49¢ 48¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner Enjoy 62¢ 60¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season LAZER 60¢ 58¢ $100 $97 −$2 (-2%)
Valorant: OXEN vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season Leviatán Academy 48¢ 48¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuel Toby Samuel 52¢ 52¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Cerundolo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5 Under 48¢ 48¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) Team Liquid 41¢ 40¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemot Zeynep Sonmez 71¢ 70¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5) 100 Thieves 29¢ 28¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Sofia Johnson vs Emiliana Arango Emiliana Arango 69¢ 69¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Hamish Stewart vs Aleksandar Vukic Aleksandar Vukic 63¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Giles Hussey vs Marco Trungelliti Marco Trungelliti 60¢ 60¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs GLYPH 41¢ 40¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 64¢ 65¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C MIR 28¢ 28¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C Pixel Lumina 27¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group B Barça eSports 28¢ 27¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage Insomnia 30¢ 28¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Damir Dzumhur Damir Dzumhur 22¢ 22¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5) Carstensz 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) Jun 20 $51 −$50 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C BUY MIR 28¢ $20 48m
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Gro BUY AlQadsiah Esports 49¢ $152 50m
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage BUY Insomnia 30¢ $20 51m
Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Sea BUY LAZER 60¢ $101 52m
Valorant: OXEN vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Re BUY Leviatán Academy 48¢ $51 53m
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 BUY Pixel Lumina 27¢ $20 55m
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage BUY Barça eSports 28¢ $20 56m
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Sofia Johnson vs Emiliana Arango BUY Emiliana Arango 69¢ $25 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemot BUY Zeynep Sonmez 71¢ $40 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Giles Hussey vs Marco Trungellit BUY Marco Trungelliti 60¢ $25 1h
Cerundolo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 48¢ $51 1h
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Damir Dzumhur BUY Damir Dzumhur 22¢ $10 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 52¢ $51 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Hamish Stewart vs Aleksandar Vuk BUY Aleksandar Vukic 63¢ $25 1h
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qu BUY GLYPH 41¢ $25 1h
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner BUY Enjoy 62¢ $101 1h
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5) BUY 100 Thieves 29¢ $31 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 64¢ $20 1h
Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5) BUY Carstensz 61¢ $25 8h
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 57¢ $51 11h
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) BUY Team Liquid 41¢ $51 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $817.16 · official $817.65 (match) · 21 history records