Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T21:21:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7e47…a025 crypto 360 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$15 (-1%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate45%162W / 198L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day15.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$91
14 days−$205
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 -45.8% -51.0% 26% 21% -41.1%
≤30d 311 -22.0% -29.4% 42% 24% -23.4%
≤90d 360 -16.2% -24.2% 45% 26% -12.3%
all 360 -16.2% -24.2% 45% 26% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.2% 26% -12.3%
10% -31.4% 22% -20.7%
15% -38.1% 17% -28.3%
20% -44.1% 14% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -29% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses162 / 198
Open positions0
Markets (closed)360 / 360
History coverage45d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 360 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +280%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1037 history records