Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:22:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e44…e83f
sports · 78 markets active 214d ago
0.0score
−$356,445 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$356,445 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$356,445
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses24 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
History coverage396d
Avg bet$14,023
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? Nov 10 $32,793 −$24,950 -76%
Steelers vs. Chargers Nov 10 $2,909 −$1,968 -68%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? Nov 10 $1,103 −$222 -20%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Nov 10 $1,103 −$74 -7%
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament? Sep 12 $15,775 −$15,775 -100%
Skye Valadez confirmed perp? Sep 12 $778 −$728 -94%
Rockies vs. Dodgers Sep 09 $1,986 +$1,057 +53%
Vikings vs. Bears Sep 09 $2,588 +$1,249 +48%
Reds vs. Padres Sep 09 $188 −$10 -5%
Steelers vs. Jets Sep 09 $459 −$459 -100%
Will there be a Powerball jackpot winner by September 14? Sep 07 $374 −$374 -100%
Angels vs. Astros Sep 07 $693 −$693 -100%
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15? Aug 14 $1,431 −$981 -69%
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15? Aug 14 $4,250 −$2,172 -51%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? Aug 03 $7,540 −$5,354 -71%
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? Aug 03 $3,173 −$2,081 -66%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? Aug 03 $5,996 −$4,118 -69%
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? Aug 03 $9,529 −$1,827 -19%
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? Aug 03 $1,541 −$800 -52%
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31? Aug 03 $4,000 −$582 -14%
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31? Aug 03 $485 −$39 -8%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? Aug 03 $155 −$17 -11%
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August? Aug 02 $4,994 +$370 +7%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? Aug 02 $4,269 −$80 -2%
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? Jul 31 $1,071 −$278 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? Jul 31 $20,786 −$8,410 -40%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Jul 31 $8,188 −$3,018 -37%
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August? Jul 30 $46,736 −$46,405 -99%
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline? Jul 29 $7,510 +$563 +8%
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? Jun 24 $42,440 −$41,369 -98%
US military action against Iran by Sunday? Jun 22 $334 +$1,533 +459%
US military action against Iran by Monday? Jun 22 $1,766 +$6,632 +376%
US military action against Iran before July? Jun 22 $23,960 +$8,021 +34%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? Jun 02 $979 −$979 -100%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%? Jun 02 $4,499 −$4,499 -100%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? Jun 02 $98,166 −$91,218 -93%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%? Jun 01 $3,000 −$1,838 -61%
Timberwolves vs. Thunder May 29 $3,143 +$1,043 +33%
Knicks vs. Pacers May 28 $1,487 +$700 +47%
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May? May 22 $6,043 −$6,043 -100%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19? May 20 $1,999 −$1,999 -100%
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs May 19 $2,823 −$2,823 -100%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 19 $4,650 −$4,650 -100%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 18 $3,819 −$996 -26%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 17 $1,091 −$188 -17%
Celtics vs. Knicks May 16 $91 $0 -0%
Thunder vs. Nuggets May 16 $34 +$57 +170%
Warriors vs. Timberwolves May 15 $6,947 −$6,947 -100%
Knicks vs. Celtics May 15 $2,930 −$2,930 -100%
Will Solana reach $190 in May? May 15 $19,182 −$2,810 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 38% −$211,673
crypto 23% −$104,980
tech 16% +$64,209
sports 8% −$31,450
world 6% −$25,494
other 6% −$38,605
culture 1% −$8,372
economics 0% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? SELL Yes 10¢ $4,934 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 41¢ $1,049 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 42¢ $899 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $942 214d
Steelers vs. Chargers SELL Steelers 10¢ $942 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $4,999 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $2,999 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $5,998 214d
Steelers vs. Chargers BUY Steelers 31¢ $2,909 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? SELL Yes 9¢ $2,909 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 46¢ $4,999 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 47¢ $3,999 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 50¢ $4,999 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 42¢ $881 214d
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? SELL No 36¢ $881 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 48¢ $1,030 214d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? SELL Yes 42¢ $1,030 214d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? BUY Yes 45¢ $104 217d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? BUY Yes 45¢ $999 217d
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? BUY No 48¢ $54 217d
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? BUY No 47¢ $236 217d
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? BUY No 45¢ $813 217d
Skye Valadez confirmed perp? SELL Yes 1¢ $50 273d
Skye Valadez confirmed perp? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 273d
Skye Valadez confirmed perp? BUY Yes 14¢ $770 273d
Rockies vs. Dodgers SELL Dodgers 100¢ $3,043 276d
Rockies vs. Dodgers BUY Dodgers 73¢ $750 276d
Rockies vs. Dodgers BUY Dodgers 60¢ $606 276d
Vikings vs. Bears SELL Vikings 100¢ $236 276d
Rockies vs. Dodgers BUY Dodgers 63¢ $630 276d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-31.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 78 -23.8% -31.0% 31% 24% -39.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.0% 24% -39.0%
10% ← realistic here -37.6% 21% -44.8%
15% -43.7% 15% -50.2%
20% -49.2% 10% -55.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1961 history records