Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e3e…a78a
sports · 800 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,202 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,202 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,202
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses345 / 456
Est. fees paid−$396
Open positions0
Markets (closed)801 / 800
History coverage81d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 801 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$635
7 days−$6,981
14 days−$5,948
30 days−$4,056
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winner 1win 34¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner 1win 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs MODUS 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Stels - Game 1 Winner Team Stels 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs Cloud Rising 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 59¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Power Rangers 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner Team Lynx 62¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels - Game 2 Winner enjoy boys 68¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 50¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Power Rangers 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner Xtreme Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B REKONIX 68¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) Tundra Esports 52¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $121 −$109 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$64 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$25 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$46 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $127 +$51 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $209 −$208 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$11 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $258 −$31 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$44 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$54 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $121 +$64 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$61 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$12 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$5 +9%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $57 +$18 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $106 −$104 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $100 −$46 -46%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 12 $199 −$11 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 −$44 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $76 +$74 +97%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas Jun 12 $70 +$32 +46%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Open Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $105 +$69 +66%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $27 −$18 -66%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $98 −$71 -73%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $73 −$54 -75%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $56 −$43 -77%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $80 +$46 +58%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $84 +$66 +78%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $79 −$78 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $88 −$87 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$37 +74%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $24 −$23 -97%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $76 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -94%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $99 −$97 -98%
Game Handicap: TLID (-1.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+1.5) Jun 11 $161 −$158 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $102 +$157 +154%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$3,038
crypto 12% −$29
other 1% −$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $13 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $49 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $73 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $42 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $30 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $76 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $62 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $50 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $177 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $99 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 243 -74.1% -76.6% 14% 13% -63.4%
≤30d 334 -33.7% -40.0% 31% 31% -31.3%
≤90d 801 -10.0% -18.6% 43% 42% -17.7%
all 801 -10.0% -18.6% 43% 42% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 42% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 39% -25.5%
15% -33.5% 36% -32.7%
20% -40.0% 31% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2078 history records