Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:48:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e3e…4781
crypto · 281 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$207 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$207 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$207
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses153 / 118
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions7
Markets (closed)271 / 281
History coverage39d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 7 History 271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$51
14 days−$24
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 41¢ 40¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Spurs 55¢ 55¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Metizport 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs The Last Resort 89¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 32¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 82¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Timberwolves 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Timberwolves 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Cavaliers 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5) FC Tōkyō 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $3 +$1 +27%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $10 +$1 +13%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $2 $0 +16%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Xiaodi You Jun 09 $6 +$1 +13%
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 09 $10 +$1 +13%
Bratislava: Hynek Barton vs Buvaysar Gadamauri Jun 09 $10 +$1 +5%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $10 +$1 +13%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 09 $9 +$9 +101%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 09 $26 −$26 -99%
Overwatch: VARREL vs ENTER FORCE.36 (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group St Jun 08 $20 $0 +2%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% −$105
sports 43% −$123
other 4% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 92¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $5 1h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 55¢ $10 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 27¢ $5 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 32¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $2 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Brazil BUY 17¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $8 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 82¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi BUY The Last Resort 89¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 89¢ $2 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 72¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 88¢ $3 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 100¢ $4 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 82¢ $3 11h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 92¢ $3 15h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 91¢ $2 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $6 16h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Ca BUY 12¢ $1 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 25h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $4 25h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 61¢ $2 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $3 26h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 81¢ $3 26h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 79¢ $3 26h
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas SELL cincai team 100¢ $3 28h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 92¢ $6 29h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 88¢ $3 30h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 82¢ $3 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -1.9% -11.2% 76% 48% -18.4%
≤30d 143 -16.4% -24.4% 59% 42% -21.6%
≤90d 271 -14.8% -22.9% 56% 42% -19.8%
all 271 -14.8% -22.9% 56% 42% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.9% 42% -19.8%
10% -30.3% 31% -27.5%
15% -37.0% 23% -34.5%
20% -43.2% 17% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.54 · official $53.86 · 592 history records