Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:39:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e3d…bf10
sports · 645 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$319 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$181 · open +$138
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,893
Realized+$181
Unrealized+$138
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses240 / 399
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$974
Open positions3
Markets (closed)639 / 645
History coverage668d
Avg bet$263
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 3 History 639 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$2,189
14 days+$4,146
30 days+$1,425
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Knicks 38¢ 36¢ $1,555 $1,466 −$89 (-6%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1,000 $1,010 +$10 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 100¢ $200 $416 +$216 (+108%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 23¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens Canadiens 56¢ 0¢ $1,344 $0 −$1,344 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 36¢ 0¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Rico 11¢ 0¢ $652 $0 −$652 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets New York Mets 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Canadiens 42¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $990 $0 −$990 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 42¢ 0¢ $630 $0 −$630 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) John Yannis 22¢ 0¢ $484 $0 −$484 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 46¢ 0¢ $322 $0 −$322 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ 0¢ $2,100 $0 −$2,100 (-100%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $277 $0 −$277 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $525 $0 −$525 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 53¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 4¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $19 +$15 +78%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $1,529 −$99 -6%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $13 −$11 -87%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $144 −$143 -100%
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals Jun 13 $109 −$108 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $158 +$342 +216%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $509 −$500 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $880 +$620 +70%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $591 +$8 +1%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $1,050 −$96 -9%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $216 −$13 -6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $455 +$5 +1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $508 −$500 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $282 +$208 +74%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11? Jun 11 $65 −$8 -12%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11? Jun 11 $141 −$96 -68%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4,517 +$1,057 +23%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 09 $533 −$525 -98%
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican pri Jun 09 $474 +$30 +6%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $284 −$277 -98%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 09 $195 −$183 -94%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $811 +$700 +86%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $320 −$88 -28%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $2,132 −$2,100 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3,756 +$2,377 +63%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 08 $92 +$107 +117%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $471 −$460 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $746 −$571 -76%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $1,559 −$1,509 -97%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $1,516 +$837 +55%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 07 $158 +$294 +186%
Will Farés Ziam win by KO or TKO? Jun 07 $408 −$408 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $842 −$766 -91%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $563 −$27 -5%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $495 −$484 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $508 +$512 +101%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 06 $511 +$380 +74%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $363 −$296 -81%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,390 +$3,060 +220%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 05 $880 −$3 -0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 5? Jun 05 $13 +$13 +100%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 04 $398 +$1 +0%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 04 $641 −$630 -98%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 04 $1,361 −$51 -4%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $438 −$286 -65%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 04 $4 +$1 +25%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1,056 +$1,744 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$4,164
other 24% −$1,785
world 6% −$549
politics 4% −$160
economics 1% −$665
crypto 1% −$343
tech 1% −$102
finance 1% −$332
culture 0% −$10
weather 0% +$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 99¢ $34 39m
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Knicks 38¢ $1,584 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $1,430 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $1,529 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 55¢ $5 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 55¢ $14 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 7¢ $2 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 52¢ $13 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $203 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 24¢ $0 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 24¢ $134 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $7 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 24¢ $3 2h
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals BUY Yes 27¢ $54 4h
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals BUY Yes 27¢ $14 4h
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals BUY Yes 27¢ $2 4h
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals BUY Yes 27¢ $40 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 10¢ $51 14h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $102 25h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $509 26h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 77¢ $598 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $158 27h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on SELL Yes 77¢ $22 28h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on SELL Yes 77¢ $932 28h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY Yes 84¢ $1,050 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $24 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $20 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $6 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $65 29h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 61¢ $203 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -22.4% -29.8% 35% 27% -11.2%
≤30d 96 -9.5% -18.1% 35% 31% -4.0%
≤90d 254 -54.4% -58.8% 18% 16% -38.9%
all 639 -7.2% -16.0% 38% 36% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 36% -8.5%
10% -24.1% 34% -17.2%
15% -31.4% 33% -25.2%
20% -38.1% 31% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,893.01 · official $2,893.01 (match) · 2173 history records